Sunday, October 24, 2010

How Many Days Can You Have Fertile Mucus

statistics FGBL

for a new trading approach, I find it especially important to have a statistical probability on my side, which forms a basis for the idea. For this I often create reports for evaluating various market conditions. Sometimes I see in the chart pattern or "(ab) normal" behavior of the market in a particular situation.

What I do not see is whether this pattern or behavior occurred only today or yesterday, or whether it be in the past as in the whole of 2009 one statistically significant incidence of this pattern is. Suitable for this purpose-written programs (usually as indicators) very well to check this.

Enclosed times some statistics and characteristics for FGBL:

----------------------------- ;
- 02.01.2009 - 30.12.2009 -
-------------------------- ---
number of trading days = 252

number R2 / S2 Crosses and subsequent Closing of the markets below or above these levels
number of extrema R2: 46 (18.25%)
- Corrections to bottom to the end of the day: 11 (23.91%)
number Extrema under S2: 48 (19.05%)
- corrections up until the end of day: 19 (39.58%)


number of open courses in R1 and S1, and a close above / below

number of open courses on R1: 7 (2.78%)
- Corrections, R1 at the close of the day: 11 (63.64%)

number of open courses in S1: 4 (1.59%)
- corrections S1 at close of day: 19 (21.05%)


-----------------------------
- 04.01. 2010 - 13.10.2010 -
-----------------------------
number of trading days = 199
number R2 / S2 Crosses and subsequent closing of the markets below or above these levels
number of extrema R2: 41 (20.6%)
- corrections down to the end of day: 16 (39.02%)
number of extrema in S2: 33 (16.58%)
- corrections up until the end of day: 21 (63.64%)

number of open courses in R1 and S1, and a close above / below
number of open courses on R1: 3 (1.51%)
- Corrections, R1 at the close of the day: 16 (18.75%)
number of open courses in S1: 4 (2.01%)
- corrections S1 at close of day: 21 (19, 05%)



Would be interesting to know what others have observed, or the finer points you could double check (of course focusing on the FGBL), in order to perhaps implement other automated systems.

Best regards
darth trader

Monday, October 18, 2010

Laser Lithotripsy Expenses In India

Expert Advisor - Entry

This morning, the Expert Advisor has again fabricated three nice entrances. However, there are still a lot to adapt and expand. All three trades are already in positive territory and have the stop-loss followed suit.


Wednesday, October 13, 2010

Uses Of Tablet Susten 300

New Broker - ElanFx.com

Recently, an e-mail has found its way into my inbox that a new Forex broker is applying. For one, I'm thrilled with the conditions, on the other, very skeptical. Here is an extract from the conditions of ElanFx.com :
  • trade from 100, - € possible
  • No commissions or fees
  • leverage up to 500:1
  • MetaTrader 4 platform
  • Fixed spreads from 1 pip
  • No transaction costs
  • 30% bonus
  • 12% annual interest
some point in time where I am now busy with Forex, once said a wise man " If something is too good to be true, it is not very likely true. " And to be honest, this collection a real collection of Oh's and Ah's it. I will keep this broker in any case once in the eye, but basically to advise caution.

Severe Itching Legs When Running

Expert Advisor - Latest Attempt

After I discovered some really interesting new approaches to forex trading, I thought ok, it would be possible to automate this. Granted who make an Expert Advisor on the act, can be some compromises. Nevertheless, I am more than satisfied with the first test. The entrances are actually very accurate and have a great potential.

this short entry on the picture of the Expert Advisor today made independently and it is not the only one that looks like this:) The stop-loss has been traced by trailing stop to +50 pips.































Advsior is The Expert in the 1-hour chart of considering various chart indicators, 1-hour chart to the 1-month high.

Monday, October 11, 2010

French Pedicure Short Toenails

results - DT_BundPP

After two weeks of intensive testing and parameterize, I have come to the conclusion that the strategy also use Live.

were tested include the following options (filters, stops, ...):
  • MA (in several variants) as a trend filter - no improvement
  • DMI as a trend filter - very recommended
  • ADX as a trend filter - Highly recommended
  • CCI / RSI as a filter for Entries - no improvement
  • ATR trailing stop - no improvement
  • parabolic trailing stop - no improvement
  • Time Stop - no improvement
  • XBar exit - no improvement
  • Einschränkund trading hours on 9-18 Clock - recommended
  • change in targets and stops with single ATR - no improvement
  • target adjustment with S1/R1 - fits quite well but have fixed values in the Walk-forward optimization proved to be stable.
  • ...
currently still running the demo account with DT_BundPP strategy to even real-time versions and other sources of error (which can be found in back testing difficult) to exclude. The result here is momentant in 10 trades, 7 of which are winners. The gain is about 800 €.

From 2008 - 2010 consistently positive results with a profit factor of approximately 1.4. The drawdown is talking to max. € 1,600 limited. There are reported about 60% of all trades than winners. In this case, the average profit almost 200 €, the average loss, however a little more. There are Vorre. 8 trades in a row, end up as losers, the winning series is 14 trades.

As part of the Walk-forward optimization settings with 90/90 (90 days and 90 days optimizing action) has been made over 3 years, positive results. There were only adjusted the profit targets and stop loss ticks within 10-30. Nevertheless, there was the beginning of the mean of 20 and 20 ticks stop profit target ticks have.

I simplicity of this strategy will continue for the time being, despite looming, that in pyramiding or partial sale of a lot more potential in the strategy lies. Especially the drawdown can be optimized for the worse yet. I'm testing for loss of sales and part sales or purchases for added profit. I'm not sure which is the FGBL the more profitable or loss-inhibiting particular strategy. could

mid-October start it already.

Best regards
darth trader


Update 15/10/2010
------------------
  • Number of contracts = 2 ... initial ...
  • subitem (1 contract) will be closed in profit
  • runs the rest of the position of ATR stop further
Back In this test the best results was achieved.


Update 20/10/2010
------------------

Now a xMinuteStop makes sense again. Result, the drawdown is reduced by 20%. However, since many trades require an initial stage, the initial value
is set to 180 minutes. A Walk-forward Optimizer is just (22h).

Another test, the crosses of the PP and counting in less than X junctions allow the trade did not improve performance.

Friday, October 8, 2010

Organzations That Help People

GSOP Live - Day 2

Yes as I said I'm with 53.900 chips start to the day. Even in the 3 or 4 Hand, I think Pocket 7 Series on the hand and raise. A very solid player and the BB called me too. Flop comes 833 and I cbette quite high against both, which also fold. The first chips are so ever won. Otherwise, it runs quite as spectacular. I called once or 3 against a raise and call. AJT flop comes and I'm first to act. To the river, the board is pretty scary, I briefly consider reinzudonken me simple, but to be quite risky. Ultimately would have a bet but probably saved the pot that show the other two 9s and 7s. Then I will also be implemented already. Come to the table, in the course of the tournament attracts most people. 1 Series of Team bwin and are Betsafe at the table, against both of those I've partially already played the previous day. In addition, the drunken Russians sitting at the table, the solid has a lot of chips. Until the break I hold myself with occasional raises over water. Can my stack to expand somewhat and am only slightly from the average, which are about 85k chips.

goes after the break, then blow by blow. I'm in the BB and Co pushed right in, no problem, I think Kings and have him covered anyway. While he has an ace, but keep my Kings. For the first time in the tournament I am average and I still get to other chips. I reraise against the bwin team player who called. I think AKo and also catch the ace on the flop. Against my CBET he folds. Easy chips. Another player from Team Betsafe comes to the table. The Russian and he is probably the chip leader in the tournament. Both 250-300k chips, you can never say for sure. Anyway, I call a raise from the new player with AK on BU. Hitte again, this time the King and embed on their check. He called me and checked the turn again, which I check behind. At the River I bette but then again, on his check and get a call. He mucked his hand when he sees my AK. Meanwhile, I'm really a very solid stack. Nearly 200k it is now and it works quite well. I get AQo and raise, 2 call me. Flop comes Q high and I cbette directly after 1 check. The question behind me but for my chip count, but then folded. Similarly, the checker, Potwin so again beautiful.

Then everything is easy. Meanwhile, people go bust by little. The money ranks are not too far away. Initially there were still 91 people, 39 should come into the money. We're down to about 55 people. I get Jack UTG and raise natural. Behind me, pushed a fold all in. All other and the action is with me again. I know I'm here most of the flip. Since I myself have 7k raiser and the pot is always with Ante 7 k, I have a pretty clear call. In addition to eliminating the chance of still another player and build my stack. How do I get the suspected flip against AQ, but unfortunately I lost.

If not that bad, which is currently the 3rd Hand throughout the tournament, I play preflop Ai. And flips are just flips, I was certainly glad I had him covered and I now still have a stack is higher than average. Happens first is not as much, now and then I could tap to raise blinds and antes with one, but most of the time I fold. Then it's really very fast.

AJo I raise in the CO +1 and the Russians called me. The hand I've played maybe wrong. The flop comes Q high and I check to his bed. Passing through on all 3 Streets, I'm sure he has a bad hand and I, therefore, perhaps even get down from his hand. I had a solid image, always when I was in the showdown, I have shown a good hand. So I had against him but probably not a good chance. Do not know if he simply had too much chips and it nothing or else he has identified one had read. Anyway, he called me down with bottom pair A6. I lose another 40k chips. Am now back in average with about 80k. 2 hands later I find AA UTG +1 and raise natural. Behind me a reraised, what pleased me of course. All other folders and I'll have his chips are not equal to full strength to show. Then I called and am against Queens near the front. Yet Queen comes on the flop and I'm crippled. I remain just under 8k and the initial spot is like always said at 7k. Frustrated I look at the next 2 cards and I find AKs. Even so, it would probably be a gewordne Allin, maybe I would have waited for the BB and would Allin was almost inevitably. In any case, of course, pure ego and shove all of course know that I must push. Everyone folds to the BB who then called with 45s. It must, of course, and the flop comes directly A4x. But that is where the river course, a 5 and I'm busted. Whole 7 ranks before the money. Since the last few months I'm quite accustomed to losing such things, I leave half-way taken the space. However, this is of course not pass without a trace and it annoys me very much. Just under 2k for the 39 EUR would have given. They would have done me well clear if the last few months of this up. And the way I know how I denied once again cash is is ridiculous. I risked my stack was never really as good as ever in a situation preflopai and then I lose one after the other, although I am either the clear favorite, or just get the flip. I still can not grasp entirely, but what can you do. The Russian has, during the period containing 2 times people busted with a Suckout. Each had about 30%. Shall cease to have it stop, if you want a Final ....

What the rest of the days now in Riga so instead is questionable. Particularly desire to do what I currently do not have. My return flight is on Sunday. So I'm still all night and morning I've been all day. Well let's see what comes an extent. Thanks for all the pressed my fingers crossed have. It just has again not meant to be ...

Does Diannet 35 Cause Breast Cancer

GSOP Live - Day 1B

Tjop yesterday we went off for me. In wise anticipation in the hotel room to come down or drink a beer. The transfer from hotel to the casino is actually paid, but I've at least taken the footpath on the way out to catch a little fresh air. I then quite arrived there on time and have taken my seat.

20k starting chip stack, and as expected the number of participants was quite tough. Many Scandinavians and of course a large proportion of Russians, etc. In any event, since everyone already knew what he was doing so. Fish has the usual one can not really make up. At least I at my table not. Normally it is said that you then own the Fish needs to be. So wrong it's certainly not been measured because of live experience was the people I advance safer. My day was pretty exciting because I was between time ever fallen apart. However, I have finally survived the day after all. I try to reconstruct still, what were the crucial points.

So at first I was already directly playable hands. Wanted to do some action. The 1st Hand had pocket 5s and I get one caller. OESD flop and opponent folded to C-bet. Puh first pot ever won. Nevertheless, I notice that I hardly get a word out when I want to raise announcieren. My hands shake well. So I decide to order another beer. It will follow a few:) Well a short time later, I raise 68s and get another caller. Hitte right back with my top pair sixth I lied of course and get a call. Turn comes an Ace and decide against a 2nd barrel. He checks behind and the river comes another ass. I told him decide to give the opportunity to bluff, and I'm not sure if he could have an ace. It embeds and finally I put my plan into action and make the call. However, he has AK and I'm beat. So the first losing hand in the tournament would be identified thus. However, it was interesting that he raise the BU against my CO has only get called.

Well I think a few laps later, then really in the hands of AA. Relatively early position and I raise again. A very solid player until then I called and the flop is very fitting with 225th I embed the flop and check then the turn induce a bluff. But he checks behind, so I put a decent value bet on the river again, which will get called. He ultimately had 56 full house, there on the river nor walked in 6th So I win the pot and get a Nice hand. Later, in one of the breaks I had yet to talk to him because he was for me the strongest player at the table, but had quite a bad luck (keep to 2 fold JJ preflop, QQ and AK, but he had quads made). Then he said he still would only get called me because I was already quite active before. So you see what image represents Sun He still had meant to have not bluffing when he had taken nothing (sorry:)).

Well then it ran after that hand rather badly for me. Most Stealraises + CBET I lost. And it was just not around. I was also herausgeblufft from one source. I called the supposedly identified as a rather bad player raise my KQo. Flop comes J high and I place a CBET, which is get called. I get a Queen turn and decide to check behind the pot not to make too great. River, a smaller map, he checks and I bette value. He thinks for a long time and then reraised me. I wonder too, and realize only now that a possible flush draw has arrived. As he told me just more bad happens, I wonder if he just bluffed, because I've shown weakness on the turn. Nevertheless, I decide that it was played by me stupid because I would have the river just behind the check can take it if I had noticed that there is another right heart. Anyway, he shows me with pocket 9s his bluff. Yes very annoying for me, but errors are just punished. Slowly, I also feel the effect of beer. Although I am not as excited, but also attention diminishes.

Another error that has me quite excited: I think KQs'm relatively short with an M of 7 and a solid player raised. Since I have position on him I called. However, I see that before me an even keeps his cards. My call is then set and the player goes all in. For me it is a clear fold, since it is very solid as well. In the end the right decision because I had been beat, but I've just 1k important verballert chips unnecessarily. The error was then even small effects. For a few hands later I was all in with QQ against AQo. Although the flop came ace, but simultaneously also the Queen, which I was very relieved. Double up, it was called then, would of course 2000 chips can be more. Nevertheless, it was like the turning point. With a wavering M 9-12 am limited my game from now on only 3-raiser on stealraises and betpushes against CO and BU.

were now only one other and I stayed by the initial constellation left. The others are either busted or have been placed at a different table. In any case, then probably 2 German sitting next to me. As far as I've noticed that, they have not identified myself as a German and I was able to listen in now and what they had spoken. They seemed to know anyway. Specifically against the 2 I then played my pushes. They gave me quite a lot of credit and I also knew that a large range will have. I was also lucky with the timing. It all went well, once he had even KQo gemucked. However, a good fold, I held AQ, but I'm glad it's not purely gone. Thus I was able to play high slowly back to the 20k limit. So I was now back at the start and almost half of the Averagestack. Nevertheless, a facilitating business but because, of course, what had come to survive the day.

was finally resolved our table then, at my new table was waiting for me again a very solid table, I should note later. A big chip leader I could make directly. He had just under 140k chips. A short time later, it should only be time his 30k chips, go as fast as possible. The first chips he lost it directly to me. I think after a short time Queens in middle position. Raise and get 2 callers. Said big stack is in the small blind about it again. For me, the NEN clear move by the many chips, but since I had the right cards, it was not a difficult decision either way. So I push all in with just under 20 k and he says he has the call. I have it not be recalculated exactly, but he certainly can still fold. Anyway, he says "i have 4 high, is that good?". By me only a dry "i do not think so" and turn against his ladies to 42s. He can not improve and I double for the 2 times a day. Easy money I would say. With him, I found myself short time later, again in one hand and this time I had a difficult decision. I raise 97s in the CO and I get called by him. Flop comes J high flush draw and for me. Clear C-bet against his check, which will get called. Turn then a gut for me. Here I'm probably a mistake, because I think after a moment to tend to check behind. Another bet here would have probably led to the Potwin, but I would have had a tough decision to make a push. In any case, is a 9 on the river for a Midpair for me. He makes a hard move and puts me all in. directly in the pot may be so 10k chips when is high. I get a oddscall certainly not so. I'm pretty sure the front to lie with my 9 because the game is not very much sense, unless he has picked up a comic straight. Again, I think he only used his big stack herumzusplashen something. Nevertheless, I decide to stack my now almost no average for risking such a hand and fold. He allowed one of the 2 tickets to watch, I pick one out and see a 5th So either really funny or just straight total air, which probably was for me. Well I finally threw some point regardless, because I really do not want to risk my tournament with that hand.

Slowly we went on to the final round. My game was pretty tight, I had now really almost average and really wanted to come in day 2. Accordingly, I also wanted to engage in any more stupid hands. After some time I could calm a form from the BB call with ATo. I had just under 5k or so nachzulegen. So in fact any two calling. He had been only k5 and I win again quite simply a great pot a tough situation that still when I think 9er in CO, raise and comes a Allin by BU. I got it covered though, would be pretty crippled if I lose. I wonder for a while and fold it, because again I have no desire to risk my tournament with a flip. At home with an MTT I would surely get called. His range here is usually quite large, but I'm usually a flip, often 30% or Ax I'm really beat. The last 30 minutes I'm hoping to get it just bad cards. After 11 hours of poker you have the nose full of slow and will not bust yet. So it happened then, always 37o or something and usually raiser was before I did. So I could fold reassured. Then said the floorman the last 2 hands. The first trash can I get back in UTG +1 and can fold with joy. So only a hand between me and second day is What will I get under the gun? AKo course, but it's no good and I have said for a long time once again to a raise. The former chip leader called me again. Meanwhile, he has also recovered slightly and stands at just under 60k chips. I really want to risk not much in the last hand. Hitte then my Ace and decide to play me soft, because its range is quite large. Check also flop and turn to keep the pot small. River I use but still a value bet, as he has in past get called quite a lot. He also called this time and as I show insta mucked AK. So finally made it. 1. Day lives! Relieved, I count my chips and pack them into bags distributed. 53.900 chips it ultimately. The average is at the end so with 60k. A relatively good starting position for tomorrow, one would think. The blinds are now arrived at 800/1600 and Ante 200. This blind level is still played 45 minutes. My M is just marginally at 13 I have so much room, but it is with some Sun The chip leader from day B had 300k. The A "only" 150k. So it looks really not that bad as it may seem. Nevertheless, the 2 Day his course ended at any time. I hope that I will with some small pots I can fight forward. Stay tuned:)

Wednesday, October 6, 2010

Invitation For College Farewell Party

GSOP Live - Report

Long time no see. My last entry really been an eternity ago. There are several reasons. First, I had not this semester so much time and have the ones I had, I play for or spent other things. Another was that I'm quite dropped. Simply incredible how easy it is passed in limits to bottom can be. In the meantime, I found myself on NL 20 again and I could fight with bonuses, etc. back up. 2 months later it gave up NL 100 but directly back to the face. Required Cash Outs forced me to re-descent. To NL 50 but the same game and I was relegated to NL 30th There, I am now also, and it is not much better. So go broke slowly is not impossible anymore. gave a glimmer of hope

Well, it finally has. Due to a glaring Grinder month in June (80k hands) I got a satellite ticket which allowed me to win a package to the GSOP. The 1 Stop will be in Riga and I arrived here yesterday safe and sound. Since I still have my last morning Had to undergo testing, it was already quite late when I landed here. The welcome party I've missed half, but that was no longer wild. The casino makes a very good impression and also has a very trendy club with it, to which the players are free. The hotel is also not grad from bad parents. each case belongs to the more senior in this town.

The tournament started today, but I start tomorrow, because I have to be registered for 1B hab. Wanted to avoid that I have Another day break in between. So I used my day off today to my town to look at. Really a beautiful old town, where there is a lot to see. I'm not everything can look closely and I just hope it stays here for now. To do otherwise would mean that I bust early in the main event and the course I want to prevent. The field I can not really estimate but it is mainly young players. Was otherwise expected due to the large part has been qualified with a package. This has of course nothing about the skill level, but I think that's right to be fully fishe are not among them. Today

146 players have gone to the start. If it is morning again, many so, about a prize pool of $ 450,000 comes to pass. The 1 gets about 21% of it and with the 36th Square one is ITM. Into the money I will in any case. As to my gecrippleten roll that would be a great help. Whether I will succeed is of course questionable, but I try to deliver solid poker. At least the first Day I will not really play too risky. It would be annoying if I already bust and virtually had nothing to do till Sunday. There's so much here then but not seen and this alone makes it sooo not the big fun. But we'll see. I will try every day reinzustellen an update. Depending on how fit I still feel this way. Is very hard, as always, the tournament of 14 - Clock is 24. Of course there are breaks, but I've never sat so long in one piece at a poker table. For those interested

the event there is also a live ticker updates:

http://almostanything.betsafe.com/blog-en/rigged-in-riga-live-coverage-day-1/

Stay tuned and wish me some luck:)