What's New?
Hello,
Since the beginning of the new year I'm pretty professional clamped. This causes that I find little time to act and to concern myself with the market.
Fortunately, the performance of FX-Unleashed developed with the return of volatility at the time relatively well. I will raise the price of the Expert Advisors end of this month as promised. So if you still would like a copy ... ;-)
In the last two weeks I've sown in the somewhat sparse free time made the idea of joint action of the ProFX system. Since this system with the assessment of overall trends stand or fall, I have to test this matter a lot.
A statistic of an automated version I have now involved in MyFxBook . However, since it is a manual system explicitly, I expect them not too much.
That's it for me even from the moment.
Kind regards Mike
Tuesday, January 11, 2011
Monday, January 10, 2011
The Lonely Soul Poem An African Poetry
Nice ... but ...
Very impressive, I think, but to question it critically. The time frame of the system is M5 and here again beat all the pitfalls of NT in the back to test simultaneously.
DT_OpenRange_20 - CL 02-11 - Exits on the same bar: 143/253 (56.52%)
DT_OpenRange_20 - CL 02-11 - which winners ;: 140/143 (97.9%)
DT_OpenRange_20 - CL 02-11 - Of Losers : 3 / 143 (2.1%)
I am again I fell for the so-called missing wheel, so that the performance of the breakout system represented quite interesting:
Very impressive, I think, but to question it critically. The time frame of the system is M5 and here again beat all the pitfalls of NT in the back to test simultaneously. Many trades look wonderful and run for several bars, that is longer than 5 minutes. Other trades again begun within the first 5 minutes after the trade was entered directly into the stop loss or profit target in the pure ....
... hmmm .... that should give us food for thought. This is to SameBarExits in the live trading can lead to bad consequences. Back in the test, I have only 4 values, Open, High, Low, Close Chart and also only in 5 minutes. How am I supposed to know which value of 5 minutes bars was the first to reach .... the high of the bar or the low of the bar ... exactly ... first you can not not ...
After I once again tried to come up with a multi-time frame strategy in more detail the possible error, were (of course) other errors or inconsistencies. The calculated rank did problems at once, the ATR-exits, and many others caused quite ugly code and quite ugly, not partly understandable, results.
have Ultimately I solved it in the simple manner and easy to count the SameBarExits. The output after the baking test looks for example like this:
have Ultimately I solved it in the simple manner and easy to count the SameBarExits. The output after the baking test looks for example like this:
DT_OpenRange_20 - CL 02-11 - Exits on the same bar: 143/253 (56.52%)
DT_OpenRange_20 - CL 02-11 - which winners ;: 140/143 (97.9%)
DT_OpenRange_20 - CL 02-11 - Of Losers : 3 / 143 (2.1%)
Results: It was even worse than feared. Almost 50% of trades were SameBarExits and almost all of them as late winner ... that means ... this should be checked manually, resulting in a horrendous and for me not worth time.
way out of this situation is for me to put the profit target is correspondingly higher, so that the exits on the same bar on acceptable 10% - 15% decline. Only then, can I trust the strategy in live trading.
Best regards
darth trader
Friday, January 7, 2011
Public Sperm Sharking
New Strategy - DT_OpenRange_2.0
systems of this type have always fascinated me. Besides the simplicity of the rules here but usually the correct timing in the right market, at the selected time period and the size of the range of their importance. It follows that intensive testing is indispensable and of failing to follow quickly from profit to loss systems again.
early 2010 I had already programmed a range breakout system, but it could not use effective. Using the information of the price range traders, I was now possible, however, at least in the CL to provide a functioning system currently on the legs.
Recently I make it my task to replicate successful strategies. Everything you find on the net for information on a system can be used here. Interestingly, the whole thing if the yield curve and the profit similar to those having the present system can.
Since normally the source code for a system is not publicly available, a program can never be 100 % ig be copied. By evidence, such as trades and their comments, it is however, possible to take the idea of the underlying system basically.
This happened with a system which I found by chance on the net:
It This is a breakout system shortly after market opening in the CL. 2010 this system was very successful, however, had in November last year, a drawdown phase. As a consequence in an alternative way of trading, in addition to the breakout from the range, also created a Bungee possibility.
systems of this type have always fascinated me. Besides the simplicity of the rules here but usually the correct timing in the right market, at the selected time period and the size of the range of their importance. It follows that intensive testing is indispensable and of failing to follow quickly from profit to loss systems again. early 2010 I had already programmed a range breakout system, but it could not use effective. Using the information of the price range traders, I was now possible, however, at least in the CL to provide a functioning system currently on the legs.
The individual trades of the original system can be found on the associated Facebook page (link to the URL above) look. With this information I was able to recreate the system is about.
The yield curve is somewhat different, the parameters are somewhat different or complementary, but fundamentally, the trade to 80% - running 90% as it also in the more than 70 example trades of the case is. I am very curious how they work, the use of the system on the demo account and trade in live is and when the productive phase in the CL, which we currently have no doubt, will be over.
Moreover, I was writing with NinjaTrader 7 to be this kind of system, as there is the possibility of an 'unmanaged' - order approach to work. Only this, I can trade breakouts effectively and bring BuyStop and sell stop orders at the same time in the market. However, the order will be handling this case entirely taken over manually, which leads to an increased effort during the programming and testing.
Best regards
darth trader
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addendum to the first live trade today on 7/1/2011 ... Strategy seems to work together :-)
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addendum to the first live trade today on 7/1/2011 ... Strategy seems to work together :-)
Sunday, January 2, 2011
Preseed Lubricants Malaysia
Trades - December 2010 Merry Christmas
Hello and a happy New Year.
I hope you all partied hard and put a little distance from trading. Every now and then is to switch off from day to day business (no matter whether primary or secondary occupation) is recommended always to be durchzustarten after the short break back in full.
The trades in December were not as successful verification, as in the previous month and it was driving a small loss. Is interesting here is that two losing trades are only used with a tick in the stop loss. Otherwise it would have been winners and the performance would look more kindly:
Let's see what the January with the DT_BundPP - strategy brings and how the markets change the beginning of the year ... or not.
A brief conclusion yet at this point to 2010: Unfortunately I was about half a year not to program possible and to develop strategies, as I was healthy bit battered and I with my soon wife to a new house I moved.
in 2011, this otherwise I will certainly try to attack again :-) It will be added more strategies and I will try to complete more successful trades. Current topics I deal with in this environment is currently ...
- JForex (Java API Dukascopy, for fully automated trading systems)
- Collective2 (marketplace strategy provider)
In this sense, all the best for 2011 and good trades
your darth trader
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